0x65e952965ffab4223b66e838a3f76f142676177c
0x65e952965ffab4223b66e838a3f76f142676177c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?
900 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-70.40
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during Framework Review speech on May 15?
870 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2025$0.00
$-469.80
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
470 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-192.70
- YES
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?
430 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-137.60
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?
275 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-104.50
- CHENNAI SUPER KINGS
Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals
265 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-145.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his May 13 interview?
95 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-40.85
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-28.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-12.40
- AURORA
PGL Astana: Aurora vs. Astralis
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.30May 29, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$192.70May 27, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 26 at 5 PM ET?$1.35May 26, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 26 at 5 PM ET?$1.45May 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fulham win on 2025-05-25?$1.70May 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win on 2025-05-25?$1.70May 24, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$1.15May 20, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?$1.00May 20, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals$52.25May 19, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals$93.50May 19, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMFartcoin Up or Down on May 17?$145.00May 19, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Astana: Aurora vs. Astralis$6.40May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFartcoin Up or Down on May 17?$72.50May 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down on May 17?$80.00May 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down on May 17?$76.80May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?$12.40May 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLETH/BTC Up or Down on May 16?$90.00May 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 16?$90.00May 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during his May 13 interview?$90.00May 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$1.50May 14, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $55.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.