Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$3.16

Total PnL

$-11.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 47

NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$3.16
$0.10
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.72Oct 11, 17:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Oct 11, 17:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 17:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 17:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 17:44 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.0KOct 11, 17:44 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.5KOct 11, 16:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.5KOct 11, 16:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 16:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 16:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 16:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.0KOct 11, 16:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.5KOct 11, 16:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.5KOct 11, 16:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 16:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 16:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.0KOct 11, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.5KOct 11, 15:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.5KOct 11, 15:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Oct 11, 14:57 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity36 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk89 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 26
Avg trade size: $877.04
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 10, 17:25 UTC
Last active: Oct 11, 17:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:52:09 UTC·src:Polymarket Data