Steel-God
0x66095cf517b97784827a7828dcea5420b2259a8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$138.68
Total PnL
$0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$33.19
$0.16
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
28 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.63
$0.13
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.04
$0.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
17 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.49
$0.09
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
17 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Is Earth flat?
12 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.09
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$18.98Jun 19, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$12.00Jun 19, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.00Jun 19, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs Earth flat?$12.04Jun 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$17.40Jun 19, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$135.40Jun 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$9.40Jun 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$21.78Jun 18, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.28Jun 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$33.44Jun 18, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released before June 2026?$12.28Jun 18, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$14.41Jun 18, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$18.64Jun 18, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$19.60Jun 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$21.04May 19, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$14.40May 19, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?$10.49May 19, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?$24.95May 19, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$16.00May 3, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $308.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.