Determined-Prow
0x660c8aa54920cb6beb83479d39af563dfd987f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$292.52
Total PnL
$-26.0K
Realised
$-574.13
Win rate
1%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?
115 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$106.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
111 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$105.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
142 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$80.88
$-7.10
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
5999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-59.98
- THUNDERTALK GAMING
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
4190 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2611 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
- OVER
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
2507 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-120.13
- BETBOOM TEAM
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
1800 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-342.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
1723 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
1456 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?$2.56Aug 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner$24.33Aug 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 20?$6.71Aug 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?$74.61Aug 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner$36.99Aug 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$7.76Aug 20, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner$20.46Aug 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$2.58Aug 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?$2.60Aug 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$2.60Aug 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 20?$1.52Aug 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$7.81Aug 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 20?$1.52Aug 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?$7.76Aug 20, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$130.83Aug 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?$2.57Aug 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?$2.57Aug 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?$7.76Aug 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?$7.74Aug 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?$7.76Aug 20, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 194 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
194 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.