Little-Budget-Zither
0x66242db47742de9b2efc77d07a64d311aa3fe94c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.16
Realised
$-2.91
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 110°F or higher on June 28?
719 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 28?
584 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on June 28?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 28?
424 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 28?
388 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on June 28?
375 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 29?$0.37Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?$0.11Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on June 29?$0.47Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 29?$0.48Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 29?$0.39Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on June 29?$1.05Jun 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.