Vague-Spell-Warning
0x6628c01757b3dbe1c4587dc80684e3c18215c77e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.86
Total PnL
$-592.15
Realised
$117.73
Win rate
97%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?
241 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$4.21
$0.12
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$3.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.44
$-2.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5?
373 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?
238 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.12
$-0.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5?
72 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.07
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?$4.21Jul 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?$3.60Jul 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?$5.14Jul 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.07Jul 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Jul 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Jul 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Jul 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$3.18Jul 5, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$3.14Jul 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.21Jul 5, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.19Jul 5, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.18Jul 5, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.13Jul 5, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.06Jul 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.20Jul 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.06Jul 5, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.10Jul 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.14Jul 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.07Jul 5, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.20Jul 5, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.