Personal-Morale
0x662d1c50f5ee701e6b01bdd3555de09356e0a059
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$22.52
Total PnL
$-35.12
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.71
$4.71
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.81
$2.81
- YES
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 14?
33 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
7 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.11Jun 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.22Jun 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.10Jun 23, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$6.12Jun 10, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$4.00Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$4.26Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$12.82Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$15.00Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.02May 16, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$6.11May 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.09May 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 29, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.00Mar 29, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$3.00Mar 29, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$3.70Mar 29, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$4.41Mar 29, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.58Mar 29, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$2.00Feb 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$3.00Feb 14, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $23.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.