Recent-Radio
0x6630343ce81d2aaf1d0159befa913e813f4e1b29
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$120.00
Total PnL
$-94.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
120 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$120.00
$19.20
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6579 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.16
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
558 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$101.28Jun 11, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$99.13Jun 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$95.00Apr 2, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$25.96Apr 2, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$80.00Apr 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$65.42Jan 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.92Jan 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$25.00Jan 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$14.66Jan 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$109.34Jan 27, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$15.48Jan 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$73.60Dec 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$96.80Dec 28, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$62.08Dec 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$108.78Dec 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$41.26Oct 30, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$15.00Oct 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.54Sep 6, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.16Sep 6, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$5.58Jun 28, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.