Elastic-Pier
0x66337ff6e514edac9fc91b4f435900cb394ef066
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-57.77
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
4971 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-88.37
- YES
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
2988 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-291.31
- YES
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Truist Championship?
2010 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-147.99
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
889 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
603 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
600 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-52.14
- YES
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
270 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-98.11
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$51.09Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$31.65Jul 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$51.20Jul 5, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $41.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.