Official-Doubling
0x66362576da0959efe4ecdb71ecb2eb9f30096f29
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$33.00
Total PnL
$-546.85
Realised
$-14.83
Win rate
0%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$17.50
$4.70
- NO
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 59.7¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.50
$-14.33
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?
40 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
38 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
37 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- MERGESkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$10.00Aug 19, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$4.00Aug 19, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$23.20Aug 19, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?$12.80Aug 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$12.60Aug 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.07Aug 18, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$8.00Aug 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.09Aug 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.10Aug 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$8.17Aug 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$4.55Aug 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.09Aug 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$4.87Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$9.50Aug 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.11Aug 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 17?$1.77Aug 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?$8.80Aug 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?$7.40Aug 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?$2.59Aug 16, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 16?$18.67Aug 16, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 131 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
131 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 131 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.