Flashy-Shield
0x6637808975ebf473e1efb5bca5596416c7eece15
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.59
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.59
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
6684 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-611.80
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
4301 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-665.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
600 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.66
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
200 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-39.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$10.00Mar 25, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$3.87Feb 7, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$23.00Feb 7, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$30.00Feb 7, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?$0.03Feb 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?$0.24Feb 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?$0.03Feb 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$97.93Feb 6, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$30.00Feb 4, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$94.62Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$4.97Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$30.00Feb 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$4.80Feb 4, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$0.80Feb 4, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$39.61Feb 4, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$18.80Feb 4, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$8.80Feb 4, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$26.97Feb 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.75Feb 4, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $97.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".