Instructive-Spec
0x66412abf8b0b74f6b744b37a8970866e356255d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?
339 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 9?
312 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 10?
288 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 10?
267 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 11?
235 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?
210 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 11?
206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 12?
194 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 28?
190 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on July 2?$0.42Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 20?$0.48Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 10?$0.95Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?$10.00Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9?$10.00Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 4?$7.00Jul 4, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 4?$7.00Jul 4, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?$7.00Jul 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 4?$21.00Jul 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 3?$21.00Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 3?$20.35Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 3?$21.00Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 3?$21.00Jul 4, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 3?$12.00Jul 4, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 3?$21.00Jul 4, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.