Opulent-Fritter
0x664159cf9fdde4454c5000dce2ec300c330699f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.99
Realised
$2.21
Win rate
3%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5?
526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 4?
501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 5?
465 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 75°F or below on August 5?
447 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 4?
430 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 4?
420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on August 4?
388 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 4?
380 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 4?
371 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5?
342 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5?$0.11Aug 5, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?$0.30Aug 5, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?$0.30Aug 5, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?$0.49Aug 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5?$0.00Aug 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5?$0.50Aug 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5?$0.30Aug 5, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?$0.30Aug 5, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?$0.20Aug 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 5?$0.40Aug 5, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?$0.40Aug 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?$0.40Aug 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?$0.80Aug 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 5?$0.20Aug 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5?$0.01Aug 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5?$0.40Aug 5, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?$0.40Aug 5, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?$0.50Aug 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 5?$0.24Aug 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 5?$0.01Aug 5, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 129 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
129 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.