0x66460070667f8ad93ab20a4be862fe437a56f2e4
0x66460070667f8ad93ab20a4be862fe437a56f2e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-335.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?
965 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-299.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 24?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-28.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Silk Road" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 23?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "Silk Road" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.15May 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?$75.95May 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?$85.25May 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?$137.95May 23, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 22?$300.00May 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 22?$150.00May 21, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolves win on 2025-05-20?$150.00May 21, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 23?$1.15May 20, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2025-05-20?$99.00May 19, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?$100.00May 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?$2.60Apr 2, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?$83.00Apr 1, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 25?$85.00Mar 26, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 25?$48.35Mar 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 25?$33.84Mar 25, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?$5.00Mar 25, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$5.00Mar 25, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on March 23?$70.00Mar 25, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?$4.92Mar 24, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$4.95Mar 24, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $47.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.