Rough-Gingerbread
0x6649ea9987e5163c9dc39818a760ba7fd0a767b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$66.03
Total PnL
$-6.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
14 shares @ 72.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.58
$3.58
- NO
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$11.93
$1.93
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.89
$1.89
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.56
$0.56
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.53
$0.53
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.42
$0.42
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3 shares @ 91.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$6.25Apr 6, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.51Apr 6, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$23.81Apr 6, 15:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$21.19Mar 18, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.