International-Champagne
0x664d0660086bd3cd69cc37238f135d68d7a7aa7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-26.49
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?
1500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- TEAM WORLD
Team World vs. Team USA Stars
546 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-316.71
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
491 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
408 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-190.95
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?
300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
234 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-62.51
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$11.26May 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$9.90May 5, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 4?$10.00May 5, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$8.88May 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones$6.00May 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 4?$6.69May 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.13May 4, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.18May 4, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$29.13May 4, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.15May 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.21May 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.21May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.21May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$32.75Feb 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$56.30Feb 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$24.00Feb 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?$6.00Feb 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$18.00Feb 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeam World vs. Team USA Stars$316.71Feb 15, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$49.99Feb 15, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.