Definitive-Ferret
0x665095017c1c71d567b77785dd398224d54371b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
110
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-131.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
846 shares @ 82.7¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$659.90
$-40.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
878 shares @ 58.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$381.72
$-132.28
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
290 shares @ 86.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$268.14
$18.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
410 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$247.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$190.00
$130.00
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14?
98 shares @ 59.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$66.84
$8.85
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.76
$-1.24
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.00
$-4.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1385 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$256.82Jul 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14?$58.95Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $18M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.07Jul 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$5.35Jul 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$202.14Jul 13, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$39.73Jul 12, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$149.25Jul 12, 04:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$1.10Jul 11, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 6 2026?$111.39Jul 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 6 2026?$45.55Jul 10, 15:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$326.88Jul 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$502.55Jul 9, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 9?$137.95Jul 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$20.43Jul 9, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $130.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.