Fast-Supply
0x66518a91ac4a99c6a38d3112c9b60ece789a49b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$366.58
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-56.06
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
298 shares @ 16.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$297.62
$247.62
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.97
$48.97
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
292 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
148 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.81
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
139 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
133 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-56.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
130 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-46.47
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
128 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.