Hollow-Spectacle
0x66538865f6797803efa7b65e72b0b5900bf0110d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$30.51
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
969 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.51
$-13.49
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
50028 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-705.89
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?
23271 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.22
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
10818 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3668 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-139.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1820 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1581 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-279.86
- YES
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
68 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Trump transgender sports ban?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$44.00Feb 3, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?$200.24Feb 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$200.00Jan 5, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?$279.86Jan 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$679.85Jan 5, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$463.56Jan 1, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?$139.00Dec 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?$199.99Nov 30, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$705.91Oct 30, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$705.91Oct 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$800.00Oct 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$331.28Oct 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$6.5KOct 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$21.12Oct 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$99.97Oct 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$300.00Oct 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$584.77Oct 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$100.00Oct 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$17.00Oct 10, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$0.00Jan 25, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $517.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.