Honorable-Shallot
0x665722ec68e26b1d6e51afdab4f04323515e8e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.92
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-277.84
Win rate
62%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
32 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.78
$-0.24
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 23.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.13
$-0.45
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
1033 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-630.59
- YES
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?
829 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-236.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
447 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.66
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?
387 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-154.87
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
333 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.72
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
299 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-89.33
- NO
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?
188 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-128.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-21?$0.45Jul 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-21?$0.15Jul 22, 00:28 UTC
- MERGENew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.01Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.00Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$3.30Jul 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.74Jul 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.00Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$0.52Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1.07Jul 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.07Jul 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$1.18Jul 19, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$200.00Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.43Jul 19, 16:14 UTC
- MERGEWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$86.36Jul 19, 14:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$100.00Jul 19, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$7.00Jul 19, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$76.91Jul 19, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$20.00Jul 19, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$7.24Jul 19, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$0.72Jul 19, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
53 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $14.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.