Our-Denominator
0x665a71550703201dd555be0d896f2676ef22e3fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$18.52
Total PnL
$-102.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will France win the World Cup?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
14 shares @ 14.8¢·now 25.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.48
$1.48
- YES
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.34
$-0.30
- YES
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 26, 2027$1.43
$-1.57
- YES
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Exact Score: Djurgardens IF 0 - 3 Halmstads BK?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-13?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SENEGAL
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Drita 1 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$1.00Jul 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$5.24Jul 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$17.00Jul 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$4.99Jul 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$9.99Jul 14, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$9.99Jul 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$4.99Jul 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Djurgardens IF 0 - 3 Halmstads BK?$1.05Jul 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-13?$2.09Jul 13, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$12.50Jul 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?$5.13Jul 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.15Jul 12, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.20Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$16.94Jul 12, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$9.99Jul 12, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$9.99Jul 12, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$1.03Jul 11, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$2.05Jul 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland? AND Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$1.00Jul 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$10.00Jul 11, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.