0x665f5d276fd7c0445d1722c0c8618e4618909452
0x665f5d276fd7c0445d1722c0c8618e4618909452
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.77
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$14.09
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
25 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.80
$19.59
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.97
$0.10
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.10Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$2.41Jul 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.13Jul 29, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$8.20Jul 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.14Jul 28, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.64Jul 27, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.22Jul 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.01Jul 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.01Jul 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.80Jul 25, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$2.56Jul 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.24Jul 25, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.00Jul 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.25Jul 25, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.64Jul 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.61Jul 25, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.40Jul 25, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.60Jul 25, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$11.00Jul 25, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$7.00Jul 25, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.