Plastic-Upper
0x6660859acb320809b7f1d27698be1dca70c6865c
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.01
Realised
$-3.02
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 1?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 31?
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 25?
106 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 3?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 31?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 20?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 15?$2.78Jun 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.46Jun 15, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?$4.17Jun 15, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14?$2.78Jun 15, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?$2.44Jun 15, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 15?$1.04Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?$1.04Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14?$1.03Jun 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?$1.03Jun 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?$1.02Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.69Jun 14, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 15?$1.04Jun 14, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 15?$1.04Jun 14, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?$2.38Jun 14, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?$2.04Jun 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 15?$1.03Jun 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 14?$1.03Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13?$1.04Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.