Grounded-Soprano
0x6664afd77030cb2876fbff76b852626af3341891
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$278.12
Total PnL
$3.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 2?
205 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$203.36
$3.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 1?
63 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 1, 2026$62.34
$2.34
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 27?
46 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 30?$102.3514h ago
- YIELD$0.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 2?$100.1019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 2?$100.1523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 1?$60.1223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 30?$100.112d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 29?$13.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 29?$10.122d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$502.772d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$200.303d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$251.963d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?$162.923d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?$160.163d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 27?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 27?$2.005d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 25?$0.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 26?$102.715d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 26?$105.205d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $95.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".