Ill-Referendum
0x666f59ab45a73799fcfe5a5fa47d5f9909e89ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$32.26
Win rate
36%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on February 2?
2446 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on January 30?
2178 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or higher on February 1?
2126 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 1?
1510 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 44°C or higher on February 2?
1501 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or higher on January 31?
1482 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 31?
1339 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 22?
1242 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-47.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 29?
1122 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-13.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 23?
1105 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-34.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on February 18?$5.12Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on February 18?$5.88Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 18?$9.05Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5$10.00Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18?$11.77Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 13?$0.67Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 14?$4.08Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 13?$5.00Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on February 17?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 17?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 12?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 12?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 12?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 17?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 13?$5.05Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 14?$5.74Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 14?$5.81Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 13?$6.13Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 14?$6.17Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 12?$6.44Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".