Flat-Markup
0x66711dd1b1a30a3d2ef232f9ee031be5dd80a3e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$18.88
Total PnL
$-249.36
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET
70 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$3.01Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$1.01Jun 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.02Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.32Jun 2, 23:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40May 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.02May 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET$39.60May 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$2.0KMay 20, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.73May 20, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.33May 20, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$6.42May 20, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $252.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.