Willing-Beard
0x6683a26ce2366cd8c9c8fbd264ea661e035443ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-477.49
Realised
$-3.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
11401 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET
1164 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-77.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7PM ET
1003 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.09
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 2AM ET
419 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.11May 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.90May 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$4.14May 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$3.99May 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$4.00May 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.82Apr 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.99Apr 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.17Apr 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.17Apr 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.76Apr 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$0.92Apr 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.95Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$3.61Apr 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$3.80Apr 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$3.39Apr 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$73.19Apr 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$23.44Apr 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3PM ET$73.00Apr 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12PM ET$174.03Apr 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12PM ET$86.73Apr 13, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".