Disguised-Roar
0x668dc81a995cdd11dfe226e205e7ec0c4fc7e471
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$857.37
Win rate
63%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$100.00
$36.00
- NO
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-03?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$100.00
$22.00
- YES
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$100.00
$41.00
- NO
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-03?
100 shares @ 56.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$99.99
$43.08
- NO
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?
99 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$99.00
$69.30
- NO
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?
89 shares @ 87.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$89.33
$11.53
- NO
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?
61 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$61.00
$9.15
- NO
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-03?
59 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$59.11
$17.14
- NO
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-03?
34 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$33.79
$16.22
- NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?
33 shares @ 55.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$33.00
$14.82
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$41.73Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$73.13Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$128.87Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$124.46Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$64.20Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$77.30Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$82.95Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$37.75Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.85Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.02Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$32.91Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$30.03Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$70.02Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$82.74Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$45.13Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$91.61Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$107.59Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$150.48Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$70.77Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.03Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $61.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.