Untrue-Vector
0x6691abcabefee51b4fce99be2e766efc23205a79
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.13
Total PnL
$-59.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 20?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
7 shares @ 69.8¢·now 31.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?$5.04Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 20?$5.04Jul 19, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$5.11Jul 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$10.24Jul 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?$10.00Feb 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score$10.00Feb 28, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$21.02Feb 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$11.14Feb 21, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$9.00Jan 1, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?$9.15Jan 1, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?$9.98Jan 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jan 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?$9.99Dec 26, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?$19.99Dec 25, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?$4.60Dec 21, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?$4.60Dec 21, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.