Easy-Petitioner-Fender
0x6693ff783cc07cd3584ea169f271ff4847198374
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.8K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
2181 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4PM ET
2021 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
2014 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
1952 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels
1073 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-557.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
1054 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-608.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
749 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-304.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
559 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-492.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
552 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-230.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
305 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-143.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$370.70Jul 22, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$236.78Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.54Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$6.12Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.44Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$14.46Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$42.50Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.54Jul 22, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.6KJul 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$185.61Jul 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$313.79Jul 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$482.60Jul 22, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$712.01Jul 22, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$155.17Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$50.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$100.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.