Self-Reliant-Appliance
0x66967fcbecae8d1039a272babd86289dff84884a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.99
Realised
$-51.41
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
312 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
108 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-48.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
72 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
54 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-29.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
35 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
33 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
32 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.01Mar 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.32Mar 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.79Mar 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.81Mar 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.81Mar 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.83Mar 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.67Mar 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.67Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$23.69Mar 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$23.69Mar 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$13.98Mar 14, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$14.20Mar 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$16.14Mar 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$18.28Mar 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$9.81Mar 14, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.