0x6699af81fcf985a25947d666a199e58293976fc2
0x6699af81fcf985a25947d666a199e58293976fc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-122.58
Realised
$-6.29
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?
846 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?
338 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 29?
282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
158 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?
95 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?
89 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 29?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 24?
46 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 24?
42 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?$8.32Jun 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?$1.05Jun 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?$0.52Jun 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 29?$1.05Jun 27, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 29?$0.77Jun 27, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 27, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 27, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$1.05May 30, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$1.05May 30, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$1.05May 30, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?$1.05May 30, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$2.31May 29, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$0.87May 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 27?$10.00May 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?$1.05May 29, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.