Bustling-Spork
0x66a09e4f7ef49d7432edcd9cd1e2558ad17b18c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$683.34
Total PnL
$-0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
72 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$71.89
$1.33
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
71 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$71.20
$0.91
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
72 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$71.18
$0.62
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
71 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$70.96
$0.67
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
71 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$70.93
$0.64
- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$70.04
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
61 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.97
$1.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?
61 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.97
$1.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?
61 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.58
$1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31?
22 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.07
$0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?$60.74Jul 31, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 31?$22.22Jul 31, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 2?$10.36Jul 31, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 1?$15.85Jul 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31?$21.79Jul 31, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 31?$21.80Jul 31, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?$21.79Jul 31, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$180.64Jul 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$213.99Jul 31, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?$59.46Jul 31, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?$59.84Jul 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?$59.84Jul 31, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?$59.47Jul 31, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?$72.00Jul 31, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?$71.22Jul 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$12.03Jul 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$11.40Jul 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$11.88Jul 30, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $61.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.