0x66a17b44f6187745c4f273622a702e2f1b423de8
0x66a17b44f6187745c4f273622a702e2f1b423de8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-374.88
Realised
$121.85
Win rate
68%
145 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 13?
1666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on March 29?
1583 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 16?
1064 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 14?
1016 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 22?
967 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 10?
873 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 9?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 8?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 1?
720 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 7?
704 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09May 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 23?$2.88May 23, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?$2.48May 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?$0.92May 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 23?$1.43May 23, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?$1.23May 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 23?$1.05May 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?$1.50May 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?$1.80May 23, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 23?$0.54May 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?$2.15May 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?$0.91May 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?$0.13May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 23?$0.15May 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 23?$1.70May 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?$1.05May 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 23?$0.18May 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 23?$1.43May 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 23?$0.38May 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?$1.93May 23, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 145 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
145 closed markets, 68% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 145 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.