Calm-Thorn-Planning
0x66a5a05a2e1c3544211f715a02184dc262db0243
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$5.35
Total PnL
$-57.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?
1 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 15?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 8?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 8?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?$1.02Jul 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 15?$1.04Jul 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?$1.44Jul 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$1.83Jul 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 13?$2.04Jul 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?$1.01Jul 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?$1.05Jul 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?$1.02Jul 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 12?$1.53Jul 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?$1.58Jul 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$1.03Jul 11, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?$1.02Jul 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?$1.02Jul 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.