Stale-Stay
0x66b2acc71af1b60dc3697638b61b43bfabd3430d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-230.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
181 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
73 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
44 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BANGLADESH
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh
19 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$19.23Jul 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.34Jul 10, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.26Jul 10, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.34Jul 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.25Jul 10, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$6.58Jul 10, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.08Jul 10, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.35Jul 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.22Jul 10, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$12.20Jul 10, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.21Jul 10, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$11.11Jul 10, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.19Jul 10, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$9.26Jul 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.16Jul 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$15.46Jul 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$10.21Jul 10, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$5.13Jul 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$5.03Jul 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$10.06Jul 9, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.