Empty-Heir
0x66b840fb7c7c72039537e8b96527dcf4c843b5f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.0K
Realised
$-142.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
55000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
29880 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.2K
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
22000 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.3K
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
20000 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
15000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
10000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
10000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
8000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
4127 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-934.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
500 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-265.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$20.8KJan 3, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$383.04Dec 23, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$37.35Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$59.67Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$179.68Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$350.49Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$516.17Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$620.34Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$791.97Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Khamenei talk in 2025? $980.19Dec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.0KDec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.2KDec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?$1.2KDec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.8KDec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$2.0KDec 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.0KDec 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$4.1KDec 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$11.8KDec 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$14.9KDec 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$23.9KDec 23, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.