Pitiful-Complication
0x66c365c64d164c514f27a7ec7435b8a9413860a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$61.90
Total PnL
$-3.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.86
$2.86
- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$7.58
$2.58
- YES
Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$6.67
$1.67
- NO
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$3.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?
8 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$5.00Feb 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?$11.00Feb 11, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$15.00Feb 11, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Feb 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?$2.00Feb 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?$5.00Feb 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?$5.00Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?$3.00Feb 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?$4.00Feb 11, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?$5.00Feb 11, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.