Absolute-Guess
0x66ca248600da613e9b8d81cb21456d55619f373f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.09
Total PnL
$-37.91
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
45 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
29 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
23 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
17 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
9 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$7.69Jun 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.12May 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.00Apr 19, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.00Apr 6, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$8.95Apr 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Apr 6, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$3.00Apr 6, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$6.32Apr 6, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.00Apr 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$7.17Apr 6, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Apr 6, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.59Apr 5, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$4.19Apr 5, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$4.00Apr 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$3.23Apr 5, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.