Mediocre-Arcade
0x66d5386b9ca87faedb5ffea2562dc797f6b7147a
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.31
Realised
$-1.21
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 10?
613 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 9?
136 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 14?
121 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 10?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 27?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 11?
80 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 1?
67 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 4?
63 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 8?
62 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 4?
57 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$0.46Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$2.47Apr 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$6.49Apr 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 15?$1.18Apr 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?$4.00Apr 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 14?$0.05Apr 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 14?$5.07Apr 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 13?$10.07Apr 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?$5.34Apr 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 13?$9.95Apr 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?$2.00Apr 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 13?$0.11Apr 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 13?$11.84Apr 13, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 13?$11.07Apr 13, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.