Flimsy-Refuse
0x66f069dbf5506f794b10f0584d87843381e7aca0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
3300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
3300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
3288 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.66Mar 30, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Mar 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.02Mar 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 6, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?$1.00Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.2KJan 5, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Jan 4, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.2KJan 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$67.50Jan 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.1KJan 4, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.0KJan 4, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.2KJan 4, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $414.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.