Wonderful-Selfconfidence
0x66f36feb94961ce69d0534c3ffb96fbd9e4f188d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
177 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.49
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
7 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.97Jul 11, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.96Jul 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$2.03Jul 11, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.03Jul 11, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$2.80Dec 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7AM ET$1.00Dec 15, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.05Dec 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?$1.00Nov 30, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? $1.02Nov 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.16Nov 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.54Nov 15, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.07Nov 10, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.00Nov 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.00Nov 7, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.