Anchored-Machine-Glow
0x66f4ad0788d93974315b9c08a24b0ce6a4be9c4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$142.52
Win rate
15%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
1927 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5PM ET
1665 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-186.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9PM ET
874 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
646 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-143.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
471 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-113.82
- AUSTRALIA
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
441 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-193.98
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
411 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-144.79
- YES
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
377 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-41.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10PM ET
360 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-102.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$14.67Aug 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$105.03Aug 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$119.54Aug 12, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$32.69Aug 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$12.41Aug 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$20.91Aug 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$8.48Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$24.25Aug 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$44.09Jul 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$38.30Jul 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$36.46Jul 30, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$34.96Jul 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$21.23Jul 24, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$11.68Jul 24, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$32.71Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$37.90Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$36.03Jul 21, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$32.72Jul 21, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 155 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
155 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.