0x66fbded96c1d1a7c29db36d08d7adadc8cf40cc9
0x66fbded96c1d1a7c29db36d08d7adadc8cf40cc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$4.90
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.