Babyish-Allowance
0x66fffeabc00b193f1d415f69821cf8031d987faf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 19?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 1?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 10?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 27?
427 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$88.09Jun 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$88.01Jun 8, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$88.09Jun 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$88.01Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$88.09Jun 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$88.01May 28, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$88.12May 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$88.01May 23, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$88.09May 23, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$88.01May 17, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$88.09May 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$88.01May 12, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 10?$1.00May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?$1.00May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?$1.10May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?$1.20May 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$83.08May 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$83.00May 10, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?$1.20May 10, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $67.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.