Grizzled-Powder
0x670b20cedf45447911e6963b14aae4365956e4af
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-98.45
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Left be part of the next German government?
3178 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will BSW be part of the next German government?
2807 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
1692 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
1111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
1053 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
1049 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
945 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?
863 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-103.55
- NO
Will Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
409 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-341.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'beautiful' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$341.69Mar 4, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "Kickback" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "October 7" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "COVID" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "trans" or "transgender during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 19?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 19?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 19?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 19?$0.00Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$341.69Feb 26, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?$103.55Feb 23, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$20.00Feb 20, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP be part of the next German government?$100.00Feb 20, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$100.00Feb 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP be part of the next German government?$100.00Feb 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$300.00Feb 20, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 19?$2.00Feb 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 19?$93.33Feb 20, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $78.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".