Agreeable-Hubris
0x6711c2aa794bd31d5d9794a20c971b0931bbb3b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on November 13?
1800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 26?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 11?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 27?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 24?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 19?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$91.09Jun 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$91.01Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$90.09Jun 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$90.01Jun 2, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.09Jun 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.00May 23, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$1.00May 23, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19?$1.10May 23, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.30May 23, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$87.26May 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$87.02May 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19?$1.10May 19, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$1.00May 19, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.30May 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.20May 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$1.05May 15, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$93.09May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$93.00May 13, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$93.09May 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$93.01May 7, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $71.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.