Quintessential-Hop
0x671af2398a2248648c3844e17a0e67dd39e560a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
4095 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump ineligible to run for President?
648 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?
449 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$5.00Nov 5, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ineligible to run for President?$4.00Nov 1, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?$21.00Nov 1, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on October 18?$9.99Oct 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 18?$1.40Oct 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 18?$8.69Oct 15, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.77Oct 5, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.85Oct 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.62Oct 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.65Oct 2, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.