Deficient-Ectoderm
0x67273092baf2e83c1ea6292e52981dbbbbb85b6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$985.99
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5028 shares @ 0.0¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$631.04
$631.04
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
6000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$246.00
$18.00
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4802 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.44
$98.44
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
340 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.37
$10.37
- YES
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
275 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.14
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50567 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50264 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-160.49
- YES
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
31153 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12592 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-214.06
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-265.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.99Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$206.47Jul 21, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.7KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$2.66Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$22.36Jul 19, 23:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.51Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.48Jul 18, 17:09 UTC
- YIELD$2.49Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.47Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$2.47Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$48.69Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.25Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $353.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.