Alarming-Cleaner
0x672ff510762a5f2a92150626a6ee90ce6e646a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$38.53
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.93
$0.03
- NO
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.90
$-0.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$7.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.40Aug 10, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.30Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.00Jul 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.30Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.50Jul 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.20Jul 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$7.90Jul 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$12.90Jul 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.68Jun 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$14.40Jun 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.70Jun 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$14.40Jun 20, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 17?$15.93May 24, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$28.46May 24, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?$6.10May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$28.40May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 17?$24.02May 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 17?$15.90May 17, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$27.49May 17, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 17?$3.23May 17, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.